Wednesday, July 12, 2006

 

Another Poll on the Massachusetts Democratic Primary

The CBS4Boston Poll is Summarized as Follows:

(CBS4) BOSTON An exclusive new CBS4 poll in the Massachusetts
Governor's race shows Deval Patrick has widened his lead over his Democratic counterparts. Chris Gabrieli is second followed by Attorney General Tom Reilly.


In a survey of 417 likely Democratic primary voters, 37% said they
would vote for Patrick, 27% were for Gabrieli and 26% said Reilly. 10% are still undecided. The margin of error is 4.9%


In an identical survey last month, Patrick lead with 36%. Since then Reilly has dropped five points and Gabrieli gained four.


Joe Keller Writes in his Blog that Tom Reilly is on the ropes. Deval Patrick seems to be getting a small lead. Both of these recent polls have small samples but Deval Patrick has a lead in both. It seems he has the momentum now but we still have a long time to go.

Monday, July 10, 2006

 

Will Deval Have Enough To Spend.

I always wonder if Deval Patrick is going to have enough money because he is not an insider and he is not known by many people. He does have some money backing but a lot of that is national and it is still unseen what he can raise in this state. I saw the following piece hidden in the Globe and I thought it was worth thinkign about: LINK

Deval Patrick continues to spend much of what he is bringing in with his record-breaking fund-raising. In June, Patrick's receipts were again very impressive, particularly for a political newcomer. His campaign said that he raised $355,409.84 and listed $332,587 in expenses -- clearing about $23,000. His already large monthly expenses doubled, both from the costs of the Democratic Party convention and a June 1 event that featured US Senator Barack Obama. That leaves him about $1.5 million in his campaign account, the same as he had at end of May and short of what he needs to compete in ad buys in the last weeks of the campaign. Attorney General Thomas F. Reilly, who netted about $83,000 last month, has $4.4 million stashed away for ad buys, while Christopher Gabrieli has said he will spend as much as $15.36 million.
He has to do this because he needs to be known to get enough traction to win votes and thus some money but I still wonder if we end up in a close media type fight in the end when he cant shake every hand.

 

New Polling out On the Governors Race

From the State House News Service:

1. PATRICK TAKES LEAD IN DEMOCRATIC PRIMARY RACE AS REILLY PLUMMETS

--Off the strength of his large win at the Democratic convention, Deval Patrick has moved into the lead in a Democratic gubernatorial primary trial heat three-way race against Tom Reilly and Chris Gabrieli, with Patrick receiving 35% vs. 22% for Gabrieli and 19% for Reilly. In general election trial heats pitting each of the three Democrats against Republican Lieutenant Governor Kerry Healey, Independent Christy Mihos, and Green Rainbow candidate Grace Ross, all three Democrats maintain slight leads.


Looks good for Deval. I think his grassroots thing and his message is catching on. Also, his personal may have something to do with it. More thoughts later...

 

The New John Edwards

John Edwards has interested me for a long time. Long before he was the Vice Presidential nominee and people knew his name I thought he had a lot of potential. Before Dean became the IT person in 2004 I thought that person would be John Edwards and I think he still has that potential today. John Edwards is a smart guy and he still has a lot of potential. If people finally stop thinking of him as Bill Clinton or someone he is not he has a good chance in 2008.

A Newsweek Article this week takes a look at that so have a look:
One Hug At A time
It's Friday night in Iowa and an old politician is trying some new
tricks. John Edwards is back—back, with the familiar deep drawl, dark tan and honeyed hair. Gone, though, are the old catchphrases—"two Americas" and "hope is on the way." In their place: a long meditation on America's moral obligation to confront the plight of its poor. "Thirty-seven million of our people, worried about feeding and clothing their children," he said to his audience. "Aren't we better than that?" It's not the stuff of great sound bites, but it's part of Edwards's new political plan: a presidential campaign with fighting poverty as a central plank. It's a risky strategy in today's Democratic Party—Edwards may be
the most viable national candidate since Bobby Kennedy to tie his destiny to a fight for the destitute. "Yeah, I heard all that stuff: 'Who cares?' or 'It's a dead end'," Edwards tells NEWSWEEK. "Well, it's what I want to do."

This guy could go somewhere and this is worth reading. Maybe he will sneak up and be what I expected this time around. Also -- have a look at this site at oneamericacommittee.org. Its a good site and on the cutting edge.

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